A Electoral College primer for 2012

Posted in Politikin on Aug 13th, 2011 | 0 comments

I have swapped my thoughts earlier in the year about Obama having a very hard time winning to he should easily be able to win, I am taking a hard look at the EC map and things could be very interesting. Below is a map of what a 2012 election would look like where the toss up states are what Obama won with < 7.26% which was his national average.

2012 EC Map with toss-up against 2008 national averages

He just wins with 2 EV’s if he is able to maintain a satisfactory average. If the election was held today he would probably win. The question becomes if he has the potential to lose all the < 7.26% states plus a state he “should” win like NM, IA, PA, or NH. So the math is not impossible even for a crazy like Perry or Bachmann to win.